Palestine Center Annual Conference

Panel III: The Bush Administration

and the Palestine-Israel Conflict

 

 

            George Hishmeh:  One thing I want to say before our first speaker, Jason Vest, is that I was surprised last night, I was listening to the BBC – I started listening to the BBC after for thirty years I have not listened to the BBC in the States, but now I have to depend on the BBC for my news.  I must agree with As'ad AbuKhalil [inaudible] says the media here is really awful about coverage.  For the first time I heard a story that American troops in northern Iraq are going and demolishing people's houses because they are involved in one way or another in the problems that they're having in Iraq.  This reminds me of somebody else that's doing the same thing, just on the other side of the Arab world in the eastern Mediterranean.  I know all of you understand who I'm talking about, but if not, it's Israel, isn't it?

            Mr. Vest.  Oh, you don't want to start?  We'll start with the next one then.  Mr. Wilcox.

           

Phil Wilcox: Philip C. Wilcox, Jr. is President of the Foundation for Middle East Peace, a Washington D.C.-based foundation devoted to fostering peace between Israelis and Palestinians.  Wilcox retired from the U.S. Foreign Service in September 1997 after 31 years of service. Wilcox entered the Foreign Service in 1966 and has served abroad at U.S. Embassies in Laos, Indonesia and Bangladesh. His last overseas assignment was as Chief of Mission and U.S. Consul General, Jerusalem. In the Department of State, Wilcox held a variety of assignments, including Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Middle Eastern Affairs, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Intelligence and Research and as Ambassador at Large and Coordinator for Counter Terrorism. Wilcox is a board member of the Middle East Institute and Americans for Near East Refugee Aid (ANERA).

 

Phil Wilcox: Thank you very much, George, and thank you to the Center for inviting me.  George said that the best is yet to come and it reminds me of the story of the waiter in the German restaurant who was serving various courses and the customer complained and he said, "Well, don't worry, the wurst is yet to come."  I hope that isn't true.

            I was asked to speak on competing agendas among the White House, the Department of State, the Department of Defense.  I will talk about that.  I think that's something you all know a great deal about in any case, so I may range a bit more broadly in my comments.  I am not privy any official insights.  I read the press as all of you do.  It seems to me that the administration has pulled away from engagement in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.  It is totally preoccupied and very worried about our deepening and troubled adventure in Iraq, and that they have decided that that will be their focus.  There is a view in Washington, there has been a view for years moreover, that it is dangerous for American politicians to be active with respect to the Middle East, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, in any case but particularly dangerous in the year preceding presidential elections.  There is also the old saw that no administration can focus on two major conflicts simultaneously and therefore Iraq must have precedence.

            The fact is, I think that engagement in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict would require a different kind of involvement.  It would require of course a political, intellectual effort.  It would not be a resource-intensive activity.  It would require a commitment by the president, an appointment of a senior envoy with broad powers.  It is something that could be carried out while we struggle with the problems in Iraq.  Indeed, to do so would have a beneficial impact on our reputation and image in Iraq and in the Arab world, where our stock is currently sunk to a dismally low level, if we were to show comparable interest to an equitable solution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict while trying to find a way through the mess in Iraq.  It would be a great thing for American interests.  Needless to say, it would be a great thing for Palestinian and Israeli interests as well.  There is nothing incompatible – indeed, there is a total compatibility between doing the right thing toward both of these conflicts.  They could be mutually reinforcing. 

Let me talk a bit about the domestic tradition here, that this is a dangerous conflict for administrations to address in an active way because it will alienate Jewish voters and Jewish campaign contributions.  I think that's gravely exaggerated.  I'm not a politician and they presumably know their business, but I believe the American Jewish community is deeply divided.  Indeed, I think there is a potential, at least a silent majority there that could be mobilized by strong, wise presidential leadership.  I think there is a liberal core in the American Jewish community that's deeply worried about what is happening in Israel and what is happening to the Palestinians and what this is doing to the United States.  And that a wise president could rally this latent majority if it had the skill and the wisdom to do so.  The Jewish community in the United States is a very small part of the electorate.  There are perhaps a few crucial races in the House, perhaps a governorship or two where a few hundred thousand Jewish votes might make a difference.  I don't know.  I think that traditionally the American Jewish community has voted Democratic.  There is not a very large swing vote.  So I think the idea that this is a third rail for politicians is a canard that needs much more careful examination and ought to be dismissed.  It's a terrible burden to American policy.

There are large, active Arab-American, Muslim-American communities in our country which are not as well organized as the Jewish community.  Those are also important constituencies.  Needless to say there's a very large organized Christian community here in the center that is interested in more active, wise leadership in this conflict.  The fundamentalist Christian right which clings to Israel not because it loves Jews, because it believes that the creation of Israel and the conquest of all of the ancient Jewish lands will bring the coming of the Christian messiah, thereby the end of the Jews and all other faiths, does not represent the Christian community.  The thought that this administration can't afford to offend the Christian right, I think, is also overdrawn, because they have other agendas, Israel is not their only cause.  They are most unlikely to switch their votes to a Democratic candidate.  They might be slightly less active were the president to take on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in a forthright way, but I think this too is an exaggerated thesis.

What about money?  I don’t know.  I think there's a lot of money that is at stake, but I don't think the Jewish funds from Jewish donors are a factor writ large.  They may well be a factor in one or two or three races.

We have seen what happened to Howard Dean when he suggested that the U.S. take a fair and balanced approach to the issue.  He was assailed by his Democratic colleagues.  So this tradition that you don't touch this issue during election year is not a Republican notion, it's one that infects the Democrats as well.

I think that a strong, wise American initiative would rally support from the majority of all Americans.  I think that there's a deep concern in this country about our policy and about what is happening in the region, and that American voters, Jewish, Muslim, Christian and others, could support a strong, emphatic initiative if it were done with respect and empathy for both parties and if it were sustained.  Indeed, I think it would be a political plus.  It would indeed help to restore our international reputation, which is severely tarnished these days, in considerable part because of our policies in the Middle East.  It would, if done properly, bring forth a liberal, pragmatic, pro-peace coalition among the Jewish, Christian, Muslim and Arab-American communities.  That may be wishful thinking, but I think it's some time for more optimism and adventurous thinking.  We need to rid ourselves of these notions that seem to paralyze us and in the process damage our national interests and that of our friends.

What should be done?  The roadmap seems to have ground to a halt. The roadmap might have had promise had the administration been absolutely committed to it and pushed it hard, but it's flawed because it does not define a clear destination like other processes, like the former Oslo process.  That is its principal failure.  The far more promising initiatives are now at hand in the form of the Geneva Accord, of which the Nusseibeh-Ayalon outline is a variation of that in briefer form.  I think those are tremendously promising because they were negotiated by Israelis and Palestinians, not by Americans.  They address all of the problems and demonstrate that there are grounds for accommodation, compromise, in every area.  They are, I think, reflective of public opinion recorded by polls in both Israel and Palestine in recent years.  I think they reflect what will ultimately be the shape of a two-state peace.  They should be grasped.  The roadmap and the Geneva Accord are not entirely incompatible, not by any means.  If the administration wanted to, it could marry the two initiatives and define Phase 3, which is now undefined in the roadmap, in terms of the Geneva Accord.  The Russians, I gather from the press, are trying to incorporate the roadmap into a United Nations Security Council resolution.  I have some problems with that, because I think the roadmap has now been overtaken and that it would be a step backward to accord the status of international law to the roadmap.  If they want to do it right they should embrace the Geneva Accord in a UN Security Council resolution.

What would happen if the U.S. were to move away from its passive, more or less, policy and embrace a bold initiative based upon something like the Geneva Accord?  I think it would profoundly alter the political dynamic inside Israel and Palestine.  I think the majority of Israelis and Palestinians would rally to it.  I think it would for the first time place their leaders, particularly Sharon, on the defensive; Arafat has indicated he finds the Geneva Accord an attractive approach but he's been careful not to endorse it.  I think that Israeli society is still volatile.  It has shown in the past that it can change course, it can throw out right-wing governments if the U.S. wanted to define something like the Geneva Accord, pledge itself to its implementation and sustain a tough American leadership until the task is accomplished. That this would change the character of Israeli politics.  It would also embolden the Palestinian leadership to move against the diehard, zero-sum and terrorist elements in Palestine.

What about the internal struggle here?  Sure, it exists, but policy is never fixed, it's never locked in concrete.  Policy can change.  The State Department of course has fought a rearguard action for a more activist American policy.  In general the White House staff has opposed it.  The Department of Defense has also. The current bureaucratic, intellectual, conceptual lay of the land within the administration is not very promising.  It is ultimately up to the president himself.  I regret that I see no signs that there will be a change before the elections for the reason I mentioned before.

I think I've said enough, and thank you very much.

George Hishmeh:  The next subject for the panel discussion will be addressed by Dr. Aruri and Dr. Marc Ellis.  It's on the subject of the roadmap and the Geneva initiative – not accords, or is it?  Understanding, okay.

 

Naseer Aruri: Dr. Naseer Aruri is Chancellor Professor (Emeritus) of Political Science at the University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth.  He is Chair of the Board of Directors of the Trans-Arab Research Institute (Boston), a member of the Executive committee of the Palestine Center (Washington, D.C.), and a member of the Board of Directors of the newly- established international Institute of Criminal Investigations (The Hague). He is a member of the Independent Palestinian Commission for the Protection of Citizens Rights (Ramallah) since its inception in January l994, a Founding Member of the Arab Organization for Human Rights, Cairo and Geneva in 1982, and a member of the editorial board of Third World Quarterly (London). He was also a member of the Board of Directors of Human Rights Watch/Middle East, 1990-1992, and a three - term member of the Board of Directors of Amnesty International, USA, 1984-1990.  Born in Jerusalem, Palestine, he holds a Ph.D from the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, and he served on the faculty of the University of Massachusetts Dartmouth (1965-1998). His many publications include The Palestinian Resistance to Israeli Occupation (1970), Enemy of the Sun : Poems of Palestinian Resistance, with Edmund Ghareeb (1970),  Occupation : Israel Over Palestine (1983), The Obstruction of Peace : The U.S., Israel and the Palestinians (1995), and Palestinian Refugees: The Right of Return ( Pluto, 2001), Dishonest Broker: The U.S. Role In Israel and Palestine (March, 2003)

 

 

Naseer Aruri:  Actually the title as I have it here is slightly different from what you have, for my title is "When Stalemate is Diplomatic Progress: From the Roadmap to the Geneva Understanding."  Of course we have a number of U.S. peace plans that started with the Rogers Plan in 1969.  There are many of them, I think you probably some of you heard me talk about them before, so I wouldn't bore you with that.  But there's a pattern to these plans.  They seem to somehow, if you look at every one of them, you find that every plan seems to have followed either a major war or a domestic uprising.  The roadmap, which is the most recent, some would say it's not an American plan but I think it is pretty much an American plan – at least Sharon wants it to be, in order to ensure its lack of success.  So the roadmap follows the war against terror, as they call it, and it follows the intifada, which is ongoing.

I think that I need to place the roadmap in the proper context of the thirty-six-year-old history of a failed peace process.  One helpful way to do that, I think, is to group these plans into maybe three broad categories.  Initially, U.S. plans – the first category – U.S. plans for a settlement were the least remote from the requirements of international law.  I think all of them have really been remote from international law, but the initial ones were the least remote. The Rogers Plan of 1969 and the Reagan Plan of 1982 expected Israeli withdrawal in accordance with Resolution 242 – so there's some legality – with sovereignty in the West Bank restored to Jordan.  Such prescription was implicit in Rogers but it was explicit in Reagan.

The next category includes three initiatives: Camp David, 1978; the Shultz Plan, 1988; the Baker point, his shuttles as well as Madrid – we're talking about '89 to '91.  Together this category of plans rendered the issue of West Bank sovereignty negotiable and gave a measure of credence to Israel's claims of sovereignty there.  Consequently these plans at least legitimized the notion that the status of the West Bank and Gaza is contested, thus raising doubts about the validity of 242's applicability to the West Bank and Gaza and indeed questioning the very fact of occupation. But while these plans refrained from stating overtly that Israel was sovereign in the West Bank and Gaza, they did imply rather strongly that the Palestinian inhabitants were entitled to some sort of autonomy.  We must keep in mind that autonomy was not a term manufactured in Washington.  It originated in the Begin Plan, which was approved by the Israeli Knesset in 1977 and sold to Jimmy Carter the following year, and it became the centerpiece of Camp David.  Carter's contribution of the adjective "full" – full autonomy did not really matter either in the short term or in the long term.

On the issue of West Bank sovereignty, U.S. policy and Israeli policy during the Reagan and Bush period were in closer proximity than ever before.  The Shultz Plan and Baker diplomacy all the way up to Madrid were quite instrumental in marginalizing international law, rendering existing UN resolutions superfluous, such as on withdrawal, on Jerusalem, on refugees, even on the settlements, which descended from illegal to an obstacle to peace. American diplomacy during that decade impaired the definition of certain basic concepts of international law and confused the meaning of these concepts.  American peace plans began to incorporate Israeli euphemisms, substituting terms such as redeployment for withdrawal, Palestinian interests instead of Palestinian rights, autonomy instead of self-determination. 

Under the influence of such targeted distortion of international law, certain sectors of civil society in Israel and the Occupied Territories began to embark on a parallel trend which produced private initiatives, incorporating their own euphemisms.  Consider for example what they did to the concept of sovereignty.  Everybody who took International Law 101 knows what it means.  But somehow sovereignty was rendered meaningless, with such variants as sub-sovereignty, super-sovereignty, shared sovereignty and a sense of sovereignty.

This quick journey back into history is meant to show the serious erosion of Palestinian rights under the impact of U.S. diplomatic efforts at peacemaking, which was molded and sustained by Israeli conceptualization and guidance.  Needless to say, this trend has had an adverse effect on the Palestinian negotiating position, which witnesses mounting concessions in response to Israeli and American relentless pressure to redefine what used to be a global consensus.

The trend began to reach new heights with Oslo in 1993, but even newer heights were recorded as George W. Bush began to make a total reliance on the right-wing Israeli narrative.  However, while Oslo was crafted by academics and lawyers in the Israeli foreign office, for Clinton's adoption and for Arafat's signature, the roadmap on the other hand, which despite a token international sponsorship was actually grounded in a speech by George W. Bush dated June 24, 2002. That speech of June 24 was described by Israeli and European journalists, as some of you may remember, as one that could have been drafted by Sharon's own speechwriters.  There were a number of these articles that I saw in the European press and the Israeli press saying the same thing.  If there is any doubt about the validity of such opinion, just read the speech and look at Sharon's repeatedly expressed admiration of that speech.  In fact, after Sharon received the text of the roadmap from the U.S. ambassador last June, he pointed out a number of provisions he deemed inconsistent with the Bush speech.  In other words, Sharon treated the speech as tantamount to a basic law which must take precedence over the roadmap, hence his fourteen reservations to the roadmap which invoke the Bush speech.  Just like the Supreme Court saying that the U.S. Constitution is superior and all laws have to really abide by this.  Sharon demanded that the Palestinians recognize Israel as a Jewish state, surrender the right of return, accept the U.S., not the EU, as monitor, dismantle the infrastructure of terror – that does not mean actually just the infrastructure of Hamas and Jihad, but everybody else including the security services which were built under Oslo, and that they must give up the intifada. 

So by contrast, the Palestinians embraced the roadmap without amendments despite the fact that it is more in line with the modified Israeli-American consensus of the late 1980s and the 1990s.  Just as with Madrid and Oslo, the Palestinian leadership viewed the roadmap as an extension of their diplomatic lifeline. They did the same with the subsequent Geneva understanding, or accord, authored by Beilin and Abd-Rabbo, which Sharon has summarily rejected as an act of treason on the part of Beilin.  Such contrast in attitudes, of course, reflects power in equality, which itself has been a major impediment to a resolution of the conflict.  Meanwhile, the U.S. peace process which removed all aspects of multilateralism assigned substantial weight to power in equality, thus setting the pace and obstructing the global consensus.

We are now looking, I think, at yet another U.S. plan anchored in the same power calculus, whose ceiling is autonomy while contiguity has been ruled out by facts on the ground. Thus it does not matter that the roadmap defines the endgame as independent, democratic and viable Palestinian state by 2005.  Israel's list of reservations includes calls for what they call a clarification of the term "independent," inasmuch as it was omitted from the June 24 speech by Bush.  Again, the speech is involved as basic law.  Instead, Israel clings to the formulation of a state with provisional borders, enjoying "certain attributes of sovereignty," not the independent, contiguous and viable state described by the roadmap.

So you see, actually at face value the roadmap looks like a tremendous improvement over Oslo.  There's endgame, there's state, the state is contiguous, et cetera.  But look at what's happening with the reservations.

Moreover, the description of the roadmap as performance-based – that's how it's described, performance-based – has given Israel leeway to invoke the conditionality of the document while sidelining its reciprocal aspects.  The threshold of Palestinian compliance has been raised so high in this roadmap that no Palestinian prime minister, empowered or not, was destined to meet it.  Not only was Abu Mazen faced with impossible conditions, but the only empowerment he could have been endowed with was what they call a political horizon these days, which only Bush and Sharon could have bestowed. 

That conditionality of the roadmap has served as the safety valve which Sharon and Bush needed to rescue them from success – hence, my title.  How is one to be rescued from success, it may be asked.  Isn't that an oxymoron?  Not in this context.  Remember the Oslo gridlock.  I mean, Oslo was really known for its gridlock, which was to ensure that they'll be negotiating forever.  It had enabled Israel to utilize perpetual negotiations as a favorite Israeli strategy.  We now have its equivalent in the roadmap.  In other words, the Oslo gridlock has the equivalent in the roadmap, performance-based and conditionality.  Normally diplomatic progress would be assured by symmetry, by reciprocity and parallelism, not so in this peace process.  Not in Oslo and not in the roadmap, where most of the requirements fall asymmetrically on the weaker party, the Palestinians, thus guaranteeing their failure to meet unattainable conditions and assuring the inevitable impasse. 

The Palestinians were also required to stop the incitement, exactly while Israeli Minister Benny Eilon was on a U.S. tour selling the transfer of land to American politicians.  Palestinians were expected to stop terror while powerful American forces inside and outside Congress were supporting settler terrorism against defenseless farmers and civilians.  Palestinians were expected to end the intifada while the peace process tries to normalize the occupation.  Progress was thus linked to ending the intifada and all acts of resistance, rather than ending the occupation or reversing decades of colonial impoverishment of land, resources and institutions.

What's really interesting about this whole issue is that the failure of this peace process was in fact a success.  Not only for the Likud in Israel but also for the American coalition of neoconservatives and Christian Zionists, if not for Bush himself, whose political fortunes are linked to these people's approval. There are men and women in Congress across the partisan divide who have been calling for such failure in order to declare a success.  Some seventy members of the U.S. House of Representatives signed a statement drafted by the right-wing Zionist Organization of America, the ZOA, urging Bush not to start any modest talks until the PA accepts Sharon's interpretation of and reservations for the roadmap.  Meanwhile, Nancy Pelosi, the House Minority Leader, recruited members of Congress to support a call for stopping all debate in the Democratic presidential primaries.  Her premise is that such debate will force the U.S. to adopt an evenhanded approach to the conflict, itself a violation of the U.S. commitments to Israel and a roadblock against campaign funding.

Given the built-in mechanisms of failure and the determined lobbying efforts against the roadmap, the desired stalemate seems assured.  Stalemate thus becomes the equivalent of diplomatic progress.  Herein lays the real context of the Geneva understanding, billed as a grassroots, bottom-up initiative.  In fact I think it is as far away from the grassroots as anything can be.  It is, however, intended to rescue Israel's Zionist left from irrelevancy.  It is an opportunity for the pro-settlement Israeli forces to capitalize on the rising dissent within Israel and the steady erosion of Sharon's popularity in the polls.  Dissent is no longer limited to pilot refuseniks who defy orders to bomb apartment blocks in Gaza or the 600 members of the armed forces who refuse to serve in the Occupied Territories.  It has brought together four heads of the Shin Bet, a rare occurrence, to warn of the peril awaiting Israel due to Sharon's policies.  The Geneva accord sends a message, in my view, that the diplomatic paralysis is harmful, just as the Shin Bet people said, to Israel's security.  It restores the Zionist mainstream and left as actors on the Israeli political scene.  It creates the impression that there is diplomatic progress in the midst of doom and gloom, a la Oslo.  But it also waters down European commitment to Palestinian sovereignty and most importantly I think it expands the margin of Palestinian concessions, which have been bottoming out during the past two decades.  Having endorsed this initiative with its required surrender of refugee rights and permanent acceptance of 75 percent of Israeli settlers in the West Bank, the PA will not be able to back away in any future negotiations.  After all, their men who are associated with the draft of the Geneva understanding have already given that up.  It's going to be difficult for them to back away from it.

No wonder Amram Mitzna – you know who he is, the guy who was defeated by Sharon – extolled the virtues of the accord he helped draft in this way.  He said, "For the first time in history, the Palestinians explicitly and officially recognized the state of Israel as the state of the Jewish people forever.  They gave up the right of return to the state of Israel and a solid, stable Jewish majority was guaranteed."  He continues, "The Western Wall, the Jewish Quarter of Jerusalem, David's Towers, will remain in our hands.  The suffocating ring was" – I'm sorry, my printer didn't do a good job here.  "It was lifted from over Jerusalem and the entire ring of settlements about it: Giv'at Ze'ev, Old and New Givon, Ma'ale Adumim, Gush Etzion, Neve Ya’acov, Pisgat Ze’ev, French Hill, Ramot, Gilo, and Armon Hanatiz will be part of the expected city forever.  None of the settlers in these areas will have to leave their homes."  And Mitzna is of course one of the drafters of the agreement which he so admires as something that helps guarantee to Israel some traditional goals.  Thank you very much.

 

Marc Ellis: Marc H. Ellis was born in North Miami Beach, Florida in 1952. He earned B.A. and M.A. degrees in Religion and American Studies at Florida State University, where he studied under the Holocaust theologian Richard Rubenstein and the American historian William Miller. He received his doctorate in contemporary American social and religious thought from Marquette University in 1980. In 1998 he was appointed Professor of American and Jewish Studies at Baylor University, where the next year he was named University Professor of American and Jewish Studies. In 1999 he founded Baylor University's Center for American and Jewish Studies. Professor Ellis has authored fifteen books and edited five others, among them: Toward a Jewish Theology of Liberation; Unholy Alliance: Religion and Atrocity in Our Time; O Jerusalem: The Contested Future of the Jewish Covenant, and Practicing Exile: The Religious Odyssey of an American Jew. His latest book, Israel and Palestine: Out of the Ashes: The Search for Jewish Identity in the Twenty-First Century has just been published in the United Kingdom and America by Pluto Press.

 

Marc Ellis:  The Israeli-Palestinian conflict is filled with detours and contradictions, so much so that it is difficult to understand the unfolding drama on its own terms.  With Israel and Palestine, the movement back and forth – the various peace processes, uprisings, truces and wars – often disguises the almost relentless march of both parties to an ending which is quite predictable and indeed very nearly fated.  Our inability to see the overall picture, the map of Israel and Palestine as it is, is telling and troubling.  It may be that the Jewish and Palestinian component of the conflict is itself the problem.  Both designations carry so much meaning and symbolism that our judgement becomes clouded.  What is obvious is one area of the world – say, the victory of one party over another – is not obvious in Israel and Palestine.  Therefore we remain behind the curve of reality, offering proposals and holding out a hope that is outdated or perhaps never was a real possibility.

The tenacity in avoiding reality can be admired as a way of standing one's ground against the inevitable, a tribute to the human spirit.  Yet avoidance of reality also has consequences, especially when it becomes a substitute for reality or shrinks to a rescue strategy impossible to accomplish.  This is where we have arrived in the discussion of Israel and Palestine.  This is where we have been for decades, stuck in a rhetoric of despair and hope, as if in a time warp whose very existence serves to avoid reality.

Today we discuss the roadmap, the Ayalon-Nusseibeh statement of principles and the Geneva accords, understandings, almost as we discussed the various peace plans placed before the world since 1967.  Yet the facts on the ground are so much different, they are surely worse.  The window of Palestinian possibility for land and self-governance has been narrowed, yet within that narrowness the rhetoric multiplies.  In some ways, it is stronger than it was decades ago.  On the Israeli side, for ghettoization and expulsion of the Palestinians; on the Palestinian side, for the right of return and the retaking of all of Palestine.  Israeli peace groups alongside progressive Jews in the diaspora call for an end to occupation as if the act of calling itself carries political weight.

Of these sensibilities, only the first, the expansion of Israeli power, has a basis in reality.  It has defined the Israeli-Palestinian conflict from the origins of the state of Israel in 1948 and through the most recent decades since the 1967 war.  It is this expansion of the state of Israel from Tel Aviv to the Jordan River that is defining today and will continue to be defining for the foreseeable future.  It is this expansion that few in the moral and political realms have addressed, because the maps of Israel's expansion have been ignored or seen as temporary or seen as unsustainable. 

At the same time, the Palestinian struggle has narrowed to a series of futuristic scenarios that will most likely never come to be.  Today a Palestinian political surrender is couched in the terms of compromise and the ghettoization of the Palestinian people happens within an autonomy that some insist will somehow blossom into statehood. 

Within this hope against hope, the expansion of Israel continues.  The wall of separation or the apartheid wall is now being built 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.  It will enclose the Palestinian population in the West Bank, simply fortifying this Israeli expansion.  The wall confirms a haunting fact that moral and political commentators seem unable to grasp, that alongside the first Palestinian remnant population within the '67 borders is now a second Palestinian remnant population in the West Bank.  If one adds the already closed area of Gaza, a third remnant population is added.  More than 4 million Palestinians within historic Palestine are now encircled by Israel, not to mention – and for their own reasons – Jordan and Egypt.  This encirclement is essentially complete.  It is not, as some suggest, a temporary, emotional or security-oriented response.  The encirclement is sophisticated, planned, bureaucratically administered, well-financed, strategically and politically in place.  This is documented in the recent book, "A Civilian Occupation: The Politics of Israeli Architecture," written and documented by Israeli architects, that sees the occupation of Palestinian land in Jerusalem and the West Bank as a continuation of the founding settlement structure of a new state suddenly and purposely emptied of its Palestinian population. The land cleared of its populace within Israel in 1948 is the same land now "empty" in the West Bank after 1967.  The settlements and the infrastructure are necessary for the security of the Israelis who now people this land as the "empty interior" of the new state of Israel in 1948 was populated.

So the occupation should be seen less as an intermittent military adventure than as a continuity of settlement that is already permanent.  Just as a settlement within the recognized borders of Israel is no longer contested in global political circles or even within serious internal Palestinian political discourse, so too the settlements within Jerusalem and the West Bank are for all practical purposes accepted as permanent.

As uncontested realities, again in a serious ways, all proposals for negotiation to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict must be seen within this framework. This vantage point allows only a Palestinian negotiation for some small form of autonomy that will anchor Palestinians in the land and will seek an internal development that may expand with a changing Israel in the decades ahead.  The task is now preventative within the larger loss, preventing more loss of life, land, resources and power.  Preventing a deeper spiral of de-development and political chaos so that Palestinian life can recover some semblance of rationality and progress.

Still, the success of this negotiation from surrender for autonomy within an overall matrix of Israeli control and power is not at all guaranteed.  The political questions are obvious.  What does Israel gain by negotiating away its power?  What power can challenge Israel and force it to negotiate for its own sake? 

There are rescue strategies, six of them, that I've heard for many years.  One, Israel cannot rule over a people forever.  Two, Israel is stretched too thin.  Three, Israel's economy is failing.  Four, the world community will not accept a permanent expansion of Israel.  Five, the United States will stop Israel and force it to its senses.  Six, the Palestinians will make the cost of occupation too high.  We have heard these rescue strategies since 1967, but the reality is that Israel can continue its occupation for the foreseeable future.

Proposals which come in the public view, initiated by governments or the United Nations or parties outside of governmental structures, should be seen within the context of the expanded state of Israel.  Since for the foreseeable future Israel will control the territory between Tel Aviv and the Jordan River, the question remains as to what will happen within those borders.  Will the ghetto walls being built today be completed?  If so, how will the Palestinians live within those walls?  How will the enclosed Palestinian population relate to Palestinian and Jewish authorities?  How will the enclosed Palestinians relate to Palestinians outside the walls and to the Israelis they deal with in the political and economic sphere?

The 1993 Oslo Accords featured a segmented, noncontiguous and semiautonomous Palestinian entity without walls.  The 2002 roadmap process was an attempt to move back toward Oslo amid a Palestinian uprising and an Israeli interventionism that finished off Oslo itself. 

It is from this place of failure that the latest proposals emerge, the statement of principles signed by Ayalon and Nusseibeh and the Geneva accords negotiated by some Israelis and Palestinians.  These proposals are similar in many ways.  First, they call on the Israelis and Palestinians to abandon the difficulties of Oslo and the roadmap, difficulties ascribed to incrementalism and the terror that accompanied it.  Second, they seek to jumpstart the peace process by bypassing initial and tentative steps toward a final agreement.  Final status issues should simply be decided with the details of that decision to be worked through afterward.

Ayalon and Nusseibeh see the important issues in much the same way as the Geneva accords.  They revolve around two states for two people, the establishment of permanent borders, Jerusalem and the right of return.  There is broad agreement on how to handle these issues or at least how to frame them in an acceptable and livable manner.  In essence, both proposals see an end to Israeli occupation, a sharing of Jerusalem, a diminution or end of settlements and the limits on the right of return of Palestinians and Jews to the newly created Palestine and the 1967 borders of Israel. 

William Pfaff, a columnist for the International Herald Tribune, commented on the Geneva accords.  He cited three options open to the Israeli government.  First, to accept the two-state option as presented in the accords.  Two, continue military control of the territories until the current Palestinian population outnumbers the Jewish population and Israel has to choose between a democratic Israel that will "cease to be a Jewish state" or the Jewish state will cease to be a democracy, dominating, if it can, an enlarged Arab majority deprived of civic rights.  Or three, continue the option that Sharon has chosen so that Israel, in the words of New York University's Tony Judt, becomes "the first modern democracy to conduct full-scale ethnic cleansing as a state project."  And thus to become a permanent "international pariah."

Pfaff concludes that the two-state solution, even with its modifications in both the proposals and the accords, deserves international support but has only a "slim chance of being realized."  For Pfaff, the international mobilization is important to stave off a disaster for Palestinians, Israel and the United States, yet in some ways the proposals come within a disaster that is threatening to become permanent.

For all practical purposes, Israel has already achieved the dubious distinction Judt warns against. That is, to become the first modern democracy to conduct full-scale ethnic cleansing.  It is difficult to see either the Ayalon-Nusseibeh proposal or the Geneva accords being adopted by Israel.  It is equally difficult to see how these proposals offer even a moderate reversal of the already initiated ethnic cleansing.  Rather, these proposals seek to limit these policies that have been featured since 1948. 

This overall framework suggested here is controversial.  The discussion has been fueled recently by Tony Judt's article in the New York Review of Books, but the controversy is actually broader, with recent articles in the London Review of Books and the Nation.  In each of these articles, the one-state solution is argued, first as an evolved fact – Israel's control and settlement of the territory that stretches from Tel Aviv to the Jordan River is seen as permanent.  Second, as problematic – how can there be a Jewish state with a population that is destined to be a Palestinian majority?  Third, as a possibility – the chance for a redress of Palestinian grievances and a real democracy in security for Jews and Palestinians.

The vigor of the debate over the one-state aspect, how the reality as it is on the ground can generate – the vigor of the debate demonstrates how the reality as it is on the ground can generate a series of abstract scenarios that fast-forward and reverse the situation without affecting it in any substantial way.  So we are left to develop a framework for viewing proposals that seem rational, in that they essentially conform to an international consensus on how to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and yet are in the present context nothing short of utopian.  Instead of a two-state resolution of the conflict, we should see these proposals as possibilities within the expanded state of Israel to create a breathing and living place for Palestinians and those Israelis who seek a homeland not dependent on permanently oppressing another people.  Thus the political motivations and possibilities of these proposals actually becoming viable are less important than their continual suggestion against the tide of political power, that an alternative path will one day be addressed.  Packaged as political compromise, the chances indeed are slim.  Understood as voices that continually need to be heard as part of the future, the urgent necessity is clear. 

Of course, this does not address the present, pressing suffering of the Palestinian people within historic Palestine.  Yet the cries to end the occupation, the demand of the right of return for Palestinians, the two-state solution as the only ethical and viable reality, also do not address this suffering, nor does the criticism of the compromises in both the Ayalon-Nusseibeh and the Geneva accords.  It is almost as if the Palestinians within the land are being argued over but little attention is being paid to them as they live and suffer and die.

At this point, only a counterpower can stop Israel and that power, the United States, has little or no interest in doing so.  American military intervention can provide the basis for both proposals to begin their work as a starting point but there is a peculiar silence on this issue, including from the Bush Administration, an administration that is able to commit American forces to Afghanistan and Iraq so easily.  Do we really believe that Israel will withdraw its own map of political power simply because the situation "cannot go on the way it is"?  Political and military power always believes that problems it confronts can be solved through an extension of its power.  Rarely does power believe that its survival will come only through a thorough revision of its reach and vision.  Political and military expansion are the venues of empire.  The definition of empire is that the future is always its own.

Still, the cries of protest seem real.  It may be that a final crisis point has arrived, a place where fundamental decisions will be made.  But I don't believe that they will.

 

Jason Vest: Jason Vest is a Senior Correspondent for The American Prospect specializing in national security and foreign policy writing. Vest is also a contributor to the Village Voice and The Nation. Vest has also been the Village Voice's Washington-based national security correspondent, and a member of US News & World Report's business, national and investigative staffs. He is an Ochberg Fellow at the Dart Center for Journalsim and Trauma, and was a 2001 finalist for the Alicia Patterson Fellowship. He is currently at work on a book for Wiley & Sons on the neoconservatives and national security, to be published in 2005.

 

Jason Vest:  A brief round of recognition for a colleague who spoke earlier, Jim Lobe.  Some of us go off and kind of immerse in what we do then take weeks or months to work on our stories.  Jim does it day in and day out and very well, and has been a very essential roadmap for a lot of people seeking information, both within the journalistic community and without.  So Jim, if you could stand and take a bow, please.  Thanks.

I was given the topic, "The Israelization of Policy."  My response to the Palestine Center was that it would probably be more apt to talk about the Sharon-ing or Likud-ing of policy.  But I actually want to pick up on some comments that were made this morning and also by our last panelists, perhaps trying to explain the nature of the lack of interest or deafening silence from the administration on taking a more proactive role in the service of a solution or finding a solution to the Palestine issue.  Normally I don't do this.  I'm loathe to inflict prose on an audience in spoken forum.

But I think that if one wants to understand policy and how policy is made, where it comes from, it's very essential to look at the people who are making it.  Something I have lamented in this administration from the time of confirmation hearings through events as they unfold, a very – to me at least – stunning lack of examination of the histories and backgrounds and motivations of the people who do make policy and execute policy.  I think it is impossible to understand and appreciate how this administration views and acts on the Israel-Palestine issue without looking at certain people, and in particular the undersecretary of policy at the Pentagon, a gentleman by the name of Doug Feith.  So I'm going in what I hope will be perhaps answer one of our fellow panelist's questions or try to shed some light into the silence or lack of interest.  I'm going to read from a work in progress about Feith that I think also may tease out some of the previous panels' points.

An in-depth review of Feith's activities, including his involvement with groups devoted to the furtherance of settlements through the spiritual and financial largesse of far-right Jewish and Christian Zionists, more clearly shows him to be far outside the mainstream when it comes to Israel, buttressing a former Washington Jewish Week correspondent, Larry [Holleriss'?] assessment of Feith as a figure defined by an opposition to peace and Palestinian sovereignty that is not just "bristling and deeply ideological" but is also personal.  Similarly, a review of Feith's former business partner Marc Zell's history also leaves one wondering how his activities in occupied Iraq fit in the context of actions by senior Bush Administration officials like Feith, who as Haaretz columnist [Akvey Elder?] noted earlier this year will do anything to make sure Ariel Sharon is insulated from pressure to hew to the Quartet's roadmap or anything that leads to a viable Palestinian state.

Out of government during the first Bush Administration, Feith, on record as saying he believes Palestinians belong in Jordan, was furious with Bush, Sr.'s 1991 attempts to withhold loan guarantees to the Likud government of Yitzhak Shamir in an attempt to get Shamir to the negotiating table in Madrid.  The more prudent course of action, he believed, was to tell the Palestinians to "abandon the principle of land for peace, as such an arrangement would see the inevitable shattering of Israel."  Conversely, for Feith any successful conciliation with the Palestinians by an Israeli government is either impossible or tantamount to a betrayal. The notion that a peace could ever be achieved has always been preposterous to Feith, who writing in 1991 held that a process like Oslo simply couldn't happen.  After it did, he advised that Israel reoccupy all of the Palestinian Authority's land, wanly noting that "the price in blood would be high but worth it."  Despite his status as a loyal Likudnik, Feith also opposed the Wye River and Hebron agreements signed by Netanyahu.

Though long active with the Center for Security Policy and the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs, two highly ideological policy-oriented groups, less well known are Feith's activities in the milieu where Zionist right and Christian dispensationalism join forces to ensure the survival of robust Israeli settlements.  In the wake of Oslo, Feith became active in the National Unity Coalition For Israel, adding his name to the group's speakers bureau and serving as an honorary policy committee chairman.  According to the New Jersey Jewish News, NUCFI is best characterized as follows: "Just as there are Palestinian groups that still dream of wiping the criminal Zionist entity off the map, there are Jews who speak in a similar vein about the Palestinians."  Benignly described and often venerated in the opinion pages of the Jerusalem Post as an umbrella group representing over 200 Christian and Jewish organizations across the U.S., NUCFI's members include, from Abilene, Texas, the Biblical Faith Ministries, publishers of the Prophetic Roundup, which reprints NUCFI epistles arguing against a Palestinian state on the basis of both Israeli security and God as the divine granter of the children of Israel's land for everlasting possession.  Recently NUCFI launched the Save Israel Campaign to, among other things, "solidify and chart future strategy for the emerging alliance of Jewish and Christian Zionists" and to fight the latest Quartet roadmap, which it holds will do nothing more than create "another potential terrorist state called Palestine."

NUCFI grew out of Voices United for Israel, an early fusion of Christian conservative and Likudnik groups with a common interest in "vilifying Rabin and centrist left-wing Jewish organizations," as Washington Jewish Week reported.  Though a number of conservative Jewish organizations, like the National Jewish Coalition, pulled out of the group's 1995 pro-Israel summit, due to the inclusion of evangelical missionary groups devoted to proselytizing Jews – the NJC's then-president characterized this as a determined effort to destroy the Jewish people.  Feith, along with the Center for Security Policy's Frank Gaffney and then-Christian Coalition President Ralph Reed, joined with dispensationalists like Jerry Falwell and Pat Robertson to address the throng, while the Israeli Embassy, then under the loathed-by-Likud government of Labor Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, boycotted. 

By 1997, the group had morphed into NUCFI, an organization that, reported the Baltimore Jewish Times, "describes itself as a coalition of Christian and Jewish groups but in reality is comprised largely of conservative Christians who are among the most enthusiastic U.S. backers of Likud icon Benjamin Netanyahu."  After Netanyahu's restoration to power, the group co-hosted him at a January 1998 rally, advertised as an opportunity to "make clear to Clinton and the anti-Israeli Arabists of the State Department" – by name, Indyk, Berger and Albright – "that they have no support for their war against Israel."  Present at the rally as a member of the organizing committee was Dwight Parrish, an evangelical activist only too happy to share his vision of the future in which Christ returns to Jerusalem and the Jews realize Christ is the redeemer.

On its web site, NUCFI has in the past approvingly posted the columns of former Meir Kahane's spokesman Gary Cooperberg.  A Hebron settler with a yen for force, he loves the idea of unleashing a "Jewish fist" on Arabs and holds that "if we really wanted to spend money for peace, it would be better spent relocating Arabs to Arab countries."  Cooperberg also runs Project Chauffeur, an endeavor devoted to collecting money from Christian Zionists to facilitate the return of American Jews or "the most endangered species in our exile," as Cooperberg puts it, to Israel, which he hopes will then be ethnically cleansed.  "The first step to real peace will be to negotiate with Arafat on his terms and ruthlessly destroy him and his followers.  All lands under his present control must be taken back and the PLO must be completely driven out from our homeland, with no exceptions."

Given the ostensible devotion of Feith and other neoconservatives to the support of democracy in Israel, Iraq and the rest of the Middle East, it's worth examining Cooperberg's views of the Israeli polity as articulated on one of his web sites.  There is a built-in conflict between democracy and biblical Zionism.  Democracy declares that man is the ultimate authority to determine his future.  Biblical Zionism declares that there is a greater authority, the living god of Israel, which will determine our future in spite of the blunders of man. [where quote begins not specified]  History, if we are honest about it, has clearly proven the veracity of biblical Zionism as opposed to democracy. The concept of trading parts of our homeland for a peace agreement is foreign to authentic Judaism and a violation of the Torah law."

Cooperberg's posts can also be found on the site of the One Jerusalem Fund, the group Feith helped found that enthusiastically courts Christian dispensationalist support.  Incorporated in 2002 and co-founded with others, including Natan Sharansky and Yehiel Leiter, a long-time hardcore settlement activist, the group formed when the possibility of a shared Jerusalem was raised at Camp David.  In January 2001, Jerusalem's Likud Mayor Ehud Olmert turned to One Jerusalem to underwrite a massive anti-Camp David rally.  In short order the group funneled funds from the U.S. to Israel, skirting the edge of Israel's campaign finance laws.

The group Feith helped start has apparently been of some use in Olmert's relatively recent fundraising activities with American evangelicals.  In 1999, peeved that he wasn't offered total control of the Jerusalem Foundation, a nonprofit in Jerusalem that does urban infrastructure work, Olmert set up the New Jerusalem Foundation in the U.S., located in the same Manchester, New Hampshire, address as the Gush Etzion Foundation, a nonprofit run by ex-AIPAC treasurer Gary Walling that raises money for the continuing support of Israel's first settlement.  According to NJF's 2000-2001 tax returns, Olmert's efforts were initially modest and geared toward minor civil improvements.  But last year, Olmert with Jerusalem Post publisher Tom Rose, another One Jerusalem Fund founder, announced NJF's participation in the newly created Jerusalem Prayer Team, the group whose founding was trumpeted on One Jerusalem's web site.  Olmert's partners in the Team, noted Israeli journalist Hersham Gorenberg in a very neglected Jerusalem Report Dispatch, are kind of hard to characterize as truly friends of the Jewish people.  Pat Robertson, who Gorenberg recalls has written that "the Jews will soon begin to see their god," a stock fundamentalist phrase for Jews accepting Jesus.  Mike Evans, who "asserts that an apocalypse is near in which rivers of blood will flow in Israel," and urges readers to pray for that to happen.  Moral Majority cofounder Tim LaHaye, whose best-selling "Left Behind" series promotes a radically right-wing political agenda and predicts that "Jews will either be slaughtered in a new Holocaust or become Christians."

The motivations of the company one keeps apparently are secondary to said company's ability to raise money for the betterment of Jerusalem settlements.  In the last six months of 2002, Olmert picked up at least $1 million from evangelicals in Texas and California alone.  Exactly how that money will be spent isn't clear, but if the addresses on the tax return extensions of One Jerusalem and One Israel Fund are any indication, it's likely to be on the settlements and not just their physical upkeep.  One Israel has functioned as the American fundraising arm of the Yesha Council, the governing body of the Israeli settlements.  In addition to underwriting the purchases of emergency medical equipment for the settlements, One Israel also runs a "children's bulletproof vest campaign" and supplies the settlements with armored vehicles and surveillance equipment.  Both One Jerusalem and One Israel share a tax return address with B'nai Zion, which among other projects also supports building in the Ma'ale Adumim settlements, where nearly 100 Bedouin nomads were evicted.

Feith's pre-administration law practice as well as the extracurricular activities of Feith's law partner also indicate a likely future devoted to shaping policy reflective of neocon and Likudnik tenets.  In 1986, Feith and L. Marc Zell founded the law firm of Feith & Zell. The firm became something of a nexus for national defense neoconservatives young and old, including Arms Control and Disarmament Agency assistant director Michael Mobbs, now serving as a deputy in Iraq, [Michella Van Cleve?], George [Mirun?], and by way of the firms dedicated to lobbying for Turkey affiliate International Advisers, Inc., Richard Perle.  Happy and poised to handle military-industrial clients like Loral and Lockheed, various firm partners also did extracurricular or pro bono work ranging from the Committee on U.S. Interests – purpose, attack the Bush Administration over holding up Israeli loan guarantees – to filing a bizarre suit on behalf of pro-Star Wars legislators angry the Clinton Administration had not begat scientific breakthroughs quickly enough to field a working theater missile system as mandated by Congress.

But appreciative of Israel both as concept and business opportunity, Feith named a nebulous consultancy spin-off of the firm Beaconsfield, in homage to the Earl of Beaconsfield, the author of politician and early Zionist Benjamin Disraeli.  Feith and Zell would spend most of the 1990s handling the transactional affairs of numerous Israeli and U.S. defense contractors.  The firm even opened offices in Israel and added to its staff there Meyer Rosen, the former Israeli ambassador to the U.S. who is today a close Sharon adviser and Sharon's special envoy to Turkey.

Marc Zell certainly developed a good legal reputation. He's also become well known as one of the most ardent pro-settlement, pro-Likud activists in Israel.  A resident of one settlement in Gush Etzion, Zell has also been a member of the Likud Party Central Committee, chairman of the Gush Etzion Likud Party, and is still remembered by some for his role in the march of armed settlers through the West Bank in 1999.  "This is a walk to show that Jews can walk through the land of Israel without fear, that this is our country," Zell told the AP from behind a cordon of IDF and police personnel, who to ensure the settlers' stroll barred Palestinians on their way to Friday prayers from their mosques.

Zell's name is recalled with rancor by some in Republican circles, who remember his role in organizing the Heartland Political Caucus effort in 1992, aimed at getting Americans in Israel to cast absentee ballots against George Bush for Bush's refusal to rubber stamp Israel's loan guarantees.  Praising Bill Clinton for stating that Jerusalem is the capital of Israel, Zell nonetheless characterized his activities as primarily a protest against the policies of Bush rather than full endorsement of Clinton.

More enthused about the prospects of a George W. Bush administration, in 2000 Zell chaired Republicans in Israel, exhorting Americans in Israel in an election day Jerusalem Post column to vote for Bush, as we would be "a welcome change after nearly a decade of unprecedented interference in Israel's domestic policies" and would herald the beginning of a foreign policy "that appreciates the role of military security in world affairs as crafted by figures including Richard Perle, Frank Gaffney and Doug Feith."

Most recently, Zell was back in the United States to talk to a Maryland congregation.  Characterizing his comments as a rejoinder to a recent column by Israeli left-wing activist David Newman, Zell zealously championed the settlements, declaring that the Jews of Gush Etzion are not interlopers or trespassers, just as their counterparts all over Judea, Samaria and Gaza are not.  "They are the Indians who have returned to their ancient homes.  I say to the world that if you deny the legitimacy of our habitations in the hills of Gush Etzion and Judea and Samaria and Gaza, you deny the legitimacy of the entire Jewish state.  More than that, you deny our very legitimacy as a people in the face of the Arabs of Eretz Israel who are engaged in a relentless campaign to make Judea Judenrein."

George Hishmeh:  I think when Douglas Feith leaves office, I'm going to apply for that job.  What are my chances?  Actually on that note, I want to mention an episode I had.  I worked in the early '70s at the Washington Post, on the foreign desk.  I was very much interested to move to the Op-Ed pages, the editorial section.  I was told by a senior staffer there, you are a Palestinian, it's very hard to get your work there.

Anyway, before I turn the session to questions and answers for our panelists, I wonder whether the panelists would like to have any further comments on their subjects or each other's subjects.  Okay.

Question:  One to Ambassador Wilcox and the other one to Dr. Ellis.  Ambassador Wilcox, you present a rather rosy scenario as to what the United States as a government can do.  What does prevent it from doing so?  If that is a possibility, why does not the United States take some action?  The other to Dr. Ellis, this is a doomsday scenario that you present.  It sounds to me that Israel today is really as insecure as it ever was, in the sense that there is in Europe, all over the world, a picture of Israel as an apartheid state that [inaudible] and many Jews in the United States and all over the world are now worried about it. What solution do you have?

Phil Wilcox:  I didn't mean to present a rosy scenario.  The obstacles to what I've advocated are very strong.  But there is a way out if the United States wanted to grasp that, because we have enormous influence, I believe.  I think we could change the dynamic there if we were strong and wise enough to do so. That will require a more perfect exercise of our own political system, a better educated public, a more informed and assertive media.  As I said, a change in the dynamics of Jewish politics in this country, which is possible.  I don't foresee that happening anytime soon, I regret to say.  It could happen.  Remember in 1992 – perhaps it was '91, it was '92, I think – the government of Yitzhak Shamir, a right-wing government which vigorously opposed the Bush-Baker diplomacy that led to the Madrid Conference, which from a historical standard was vigorous American diplomacy, hardly adequate and it was not sustained – but because Yitzhak Shamir was seen by the Israeli public as opposing a good faith, sensible American initiative which promised peace, he was voted out of office by the Israeli people.  I don't despair of the ability of the Israeli public to do the right thing if they have the right stimulus, indeed the right support from the United States.  I do not think that Zionism is indelibly, primordially, an expansionist force that must inevitably continue its advance into the Occupied Territories, the dispossession of the Palestinians, creating a permanent bloody, hopeless conflict between the two peoples.  It isn't necessary.  History does not ordain that.  We can change history if we want to.  We're not doing so, I regret to say, but we could.

Marc Ellis:  If you look at the maps which I actually bring around now, which I didn't bring today because we didn't have enough time, you can see that every proposal by every Israeli prime minister since Oslo – we can go back beyond that – it's the same map.  The map is really simple.  It's a very simple map.  Outside the '67 borders, Israel. Jordan Valley, Israel.  Israel in between and around everything else.  It's the same map.  Same exact map.

If we had a map, I've been looking for one, I wish somebody could help me, of Palestinians within '67 borders and get a map of how Palestinians live there and put the map, how Palestinians live in the West Bank, same map.  If we were to look at this map together on any other issue, say South Africa, whatever, any other place in the world, we could look at the map and we'd all say, look what's happened since 1948.  Isn't this obvious?  Look, we've got these people here, we've got these people here, and we have these other people with all this power, we all agree on it.  98 percent of us.  It is the most obvious map that I've ever seen, but we don't believe it.  We can't accept it.  We see it as fatalistic.  We can change.

How long have I heard from those who want to do good, write to your congressperson, form lobbies.  How many times have I heard and how many times have those who are older than I am heard the same scenario?  Of course it's possible to change.  There is one possibility.  My view?  American military – I didn't say peacekeepers – okay, wait a minute.  Push Israel back to the '67 borders.  Everyone says, what are you nuts?  Never happen.  Well, that tells you why it isn't going to happen.  When you say, whether you're for American intervention or not, let's leave that aside.  America intervenes all over the world.  Right?  There is nothing in the world that would raise our prestige to a higher level than that intervention, in the world – nothing you could tell me, not one policy could anyone tell me that would raise our prestige in the world more than that.  You look at me and say, it is totally absurd to even suggest it.  When we unravel why it's absurd, you'll realize why the Palestinians have been and will continue to be in this situation.

Last comment.  It's not fatalistic to look at a map and ask, what are we to do?  If I have a disease, I can tell you I do not have it.  Some people actually counsel that.  But I think the best thing to do is to say, you know what?  I got this.  What am I going to do?  Dr. Aruri said it in his paper.  Narrowed, narrowed, narrowed, narrowed.  Predictably.  You can see the maps of it narrowing.  The Israeli and Jewish progressives need these possibilities to bolster our own resolve while narrowing the possibilities.  If you look at Jewish progressive groups – I’m Jewish, I’m a Jewish progressive, okay I'm telling you – think about this, and this is where I will end.  What are Palestinians allowed to say about their own freedom?  With their good friends, and some Jewish progressives are good friends.  What are they allowed to say?  I want all of Palestine?  Oh, no.  I want one democratic state?  No.  All they're allowed to say is, we'll take the 22 percent but we'll be demilitarized, we will not have an army.  You can protect us, security, all right, we'll patrol the borders too.  [inaudible] that Jewish progressives who have been some of the best friends of Palestinians have put on this debate.  If you look at it, you see it.  So let's look at the map and say, what are we going to do, rather than pretend there's no map. Somehow what hasn't happened over many years, and where there's no political need to do it – Israel's not confronted by any power, America doesn't seem to want to confront Israel.

Question:  My name is Miryam Rashid, American Muslims for Jerusalem.  I have a question for Professor Aruri.  I haven't heard anybody – you talked about the new developments of the recognition of Israel as a Jewish state that I don't believe was a part of Oslo but is now becoming part of these new initiatives.  Yesterday I heard Yusuf Jabbereen, a Palestinian lawyer from Israel, talk about the Palestinians, they're constantly struggling for equal rights.  Are there any Palestinian voices inside Israel who are saying that what mandate do Palestinians from the West Bank and Gaza have to call for Israel as a Jewish state and shouldn't that be a decision of Israel's citizens?  Is anyone talking about this?

Naseer Aruri:  Yes, someone is talking about this.  There is a movement in Israel among the Palestinians in Israel that is interested in the issue of refugees and the status of villages that are not recognized on the Israeli map.  The villages that have no infrastructure, no roads, nothing at all.  They are actually on record stating that – that's going back to the 1994 Abu Mazen-Beilin agreement, this is the first one of the so-called grassroots which are, as I said, as far away from the grassroots – I mean, that's not grassroots.  At that time, at least my awareness of it is that it was raised at that time and continued beyond it.  They're objecting to the fact that first of all the right of return is being surrendered, because it was surrendered in 1994 in Abu Mazen-Beilin and of course it is surrendered now in the Geneva understanding and in the Ayalon-Nusseibeh accord as well.  Because they want to return.  Secondly they object to Israel being recognized as a Jewish state.  What does that say about their status in Israel and those who call for equality?  So there is.

Question:  I'm Clay Swisher, I'm a grad student at Georgetown University.  I have a question for Jason.  You mentioned a few groups, the One Israel Fund comes to mind, and I've looked at their web site myself.  I'm wondering, when we have this debate right now about cutting U.S. aid for Jewish settlements in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, if it can't somehow be woven into the debate that we should stop indirect U.S. subsidies, namely allowing nonprofit 501(c)(3) and (c)(4) organizations here in the U.S. to funnel money that directly subsidizes these settlements.  I wonder if you had any opinions on that.

Phil Wilcox:  I think any strategy which depends on congressional initiative and support is probably doomed. The executive branch must lead the Congress in this country.  The Congress is not going to do it on its own.  Advocates of terminating aid to Israel, economic sanctions, other penalties, are going to fail, because of the dynamics of congressional politics.  Leadership has to come from the president.  If the president wants to lead, the Congress will follow.  But I wouldn't advocate that.  It would produce a lot of wheel spinning, a waste of time and effort, where the real effort ought to be put into a broad, bold American peace initiative whose objective would be to change the climate in the political environment in Israel and Palestine, to restore hope and to bring about the resurrection of a pragmatic, liberal, peace-minded majority in Israel that would replace the current Israeli government.  If that doesn't happen, the current Israeli government will run its course and there may be yet another right-wing, retrograde, anti-peace Israeli government.

Question:  I think Dr. Ellis was right when he talked about the progressives in Israel not coming through.  In fact, when the intifada started in September 2000, it was really the progressive part of Israel just collapsed, because really it showed that the maximum they would give the Palestinians was too little for the Palestinians themselves. Right now in Israel you have had this terrible economic situation which has affected the Israeli public and it's not going to get better until they've settled things more with the Palestinians.  They also have the insecurity from these suicide bombings.  That has affected them.  You've got a lot of demoralization in Israel right now with what the government is doing, and of course Sharon also has his corruption problems.  It seems now as if there is a new coming out of the anti-Sharon forces in Israel.  You've got these army officers but you also have like Avraham Burg's letter about we need to reexamine the ethics of Zionism, to go back to our beginning there.  You've also had this worry of anti-Semitism around the world. Do you see those forces from all of this maybe having an effect on the Israeli side of the equation and maybe it'll be some kind of a balance to all of this American policy we have today?

Marc Ellis:  One of the things that I think we have to come to grips with as Jews, but others looking at this issue, is that dissent, of which there's plenty in the Jewish community, doesn't necessarily carry the day.  There's dissent in America about the policy in Iraq.  Governments do things, elites in power are able to do things.  The infrastructure is already there.  So it's not a question that there's no dissent, although we can question about the limits of dissent.  There are some Jews who are dissenting at another level, in Israel and outside.  But Jews have never come to grips with the fact that we don't control the state.  That the state can actually operate without a majority of public opinion.  We know it from here.  I just don't understand why we – if we look at the map, it has been built bureaucratically, technologically – the wall, for instance, is very interesting.  Impossible to build.  Oh, really?  It's not possible in the 21st century.  Israel will become an international pariah.  Oh, really?  Is the wall stopping?  By the way, they don't even need the wall, so if they ever stop it, it will just be another way of narrowing what Palestinians can demand.

What I'm saying is, we have to look at political power. That power in Israel can do what it's been doing.  You mentioned several rescue strategies which have been mentioned many times before.  Sometimes I think I should retire from this, because people say it's too pessimistic.  I see something very clearly for myself.  I know that history is open.  I know that history can change.  But if you look at this map, it will change within that map.  That's my view.  So halting it, stopping it, changing it back, is something that is worthwhile to consider.  But my own sense is, we have to work on changing it from within.

First question, how many Palestinians live within the wall that's being built?  How many Palestinians live within that wall?  Nobody seems to talk about that.  That wall is being built.  It's not an idea.  The first thing we have to ask is, how will Palestinians survive in that wall, within the wall?  It's a ghetto.  As a Jew, I know a little bit about ghettoes historically. That's what we have to figure – we talk about changing it, moving it back, the anti-Semitism in Europe.  My own sense is that it's going to get worse.  I've been saying this for years.  People yell at me.  It's been getting worse, it's going to get worse.  What are we going to do about it?  I don't have any better solution than anyone else.  But the old arguments and slogans to me are dead.

Question:  Azmi Bushara was here in that seat a few months ago and he said something very surprising.  He said we are winning.  I went up to him afterwards and said, what do you mean?  He said, we are here and we're going to stay here.  He's a Palestinian and an Israeli citizen.  I wonder, in connection with Ambassador Wilcox's statements, you're not going to change Congress except over a very long period of time.  You're not going to change the elections, because regardless of who gets elected, Democrat or Republican, doesn't seem to make much difference.  Maybe we could sell, market to the White House what we call shock and awe diplomacy, instead of shock and awe war.  In July, Zogby did a poll of 1,000 Americans, a very scientific poll, asking them, since Harry Truman made a mistake in recognizing only one-half of Palestine as a state without specifying borders and didn't recognize a Palestinian state, would you, the American public, agree to recognize a Palestinian state now without recognizing borders, just de facto, just the way Israel was recognized.  56 percent of the Americans came back saying yes.  Half of the born-again Christians said yes, which was a surprise.

I guess my longwinded question here is, aren't there some things that can be done?  The president could recognize Palestine now without going to Congress.  He is commander in chief but he's also commander in chief of diplomacy, of foreign affairs.  I know it seems impossible, but if he gets in deep enough problems in Iraq maybe he will come to the conclusion that the winner in the coming election would be an advance on the Israel-Palestine and Israel-Syria problem.

Phil Wilcox [?]:  Whether he recognizes a Palestinian state, the question is, what does that mean?  We can talk about Palestinian autonomy or a Palestinian state.  We have to recognize what it means.  Bushara is wrong, Palestinians are not winning.  It may ultimately bring about – ultimately, after many, many, many years – some kind of reconciliation and justice.  That's a possibility.  But the occupation's not going to end.  It will have to happen that Israel – Jews and Palestinians, including here, ultimately working together may change it ultimately within this area.  But the occupation is not going to end.  Nobody wants it to end.  My own belief is that the Arab world doesn't want it to end, for other reasons.  Yeah, of course for – if we have an Israel that's changed and a Palestine that is strong and empowered, this is a whole other series of challenges, I don't think for a second that in general the Arab world, other than rhetorically, wants the occupation to end.  They want the situation to be normalized. This they want. This the United States wants.  This Israel wants.  This the Arab world wants.  Yes, they want it normalized, but that doesn't mean they want justice.  These are two different aspects.  They want it stable, as all powers want when they have the advantage.  They want stability.  That doesn't mean freedom for Palestinians.  These are two different things.

Question:  I think that Marc Ellis is right to point to the map and say, what is real, and we can't have any illusions in our work.  But I would pose as a comment and a question, on the issue of what do we do about that, which is I think what we need to talk about, not how bad is it.  Yeah, it's very bad, okay, next.  The question is, what do we do?  I think organizations like the U.S. Campaign to End Israeli Occupation, of which the Palestine Center is a founding member, have the right idea when we talk about education.  That's what's key.  I don't think the U.S. president is going to lead.  I'm sorry, Ambassador Wilcox, I don't think that is ever going to happen.  Nor is Congress.  The American people are going to have to take it back for ourselves.  Now, how is that going to happen, because right now people in this country are really badly educated on this issue as well as a bunch of others.  But that is what we can change.  Until we do that, I don't think we're going to see a change in policy.  So the question is, how do we change people's understanding?  How do we educate people?  It can't be education in the abstract.  It's got to be grounded in real world politics.  So when we talk about writing le